The Official Russian Invasion of Ukraine Thread

1,957,266 Views | 13441 Replies | Last: 1 day ago by Cal88
sycasey
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oski003 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

This board has been your only source of unfiltered, real information about the Ukraine war, all your other sources sold you a fake narrative built on decades of Cold War propaganda.

Your information comes through a filter too, you just don't realize it.


I do realize, but I also do judge these filters by how accurate they turn out to be. When for example sources are telling you that Russia has been suffering huge losses, and you find out that the rate of prisoner and body exchange between Russian and Ukraine favors the former by a ratio above 30 to 1, that lends you to believe that these sources have been heavily gaslighting.

One of the interesting aspects of following this thread is that you get exposure to both sides, like the British one above, or the stuff that U2sucks used to post from the hardcore NAFO sources, which have been a lot quieter since.

Many of your sources were also saying that Russia was going to defeat Ukraine in a matter of months (or going back a bit further, that Russia was never going to invade at all), and now here we are years later and they haven't done it. Accuracy doesn't seem to be your main concern here.


When someone is wrong on one event and then you are wrong on the next fifty, you can't continuously go back to the one thing they were wrong about a few years ago.

I don't think it's just on the one thing, that's just the most obvious example.
dajo9
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chazzed said:

Not sure in what thread this belongs, but this is as pathetic as it gets.




The blockade of Cuba is another illegal and unconstitutional act of war by Trump
Censorship has always been a tool of the fascist
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

This board has been your only source of unfiltered, real information about the Ukraine war, all your other sources sold you a fake narrative built on decades of Cold War propaganda.

Your information comes through a filter too, you just don't realize it.


I do realize, but I also do judge these filters by how accurate they turn out to be. When for example sources are telling you that Russia has been suffering huge losses, and you find out that the rate of prisoner and body exchange between Russian and Ukraine favors the former by a ratio above 30 to 1, that lends you to believe that these sources have been heavily gaslighting.

One of the interesting aspects of following this thread is that you get exposure to both sides, like the British one above, or the stuff that U2sucks used to post from the hardcore NAFO sources, which have been a lot quieter since.

Many of your sources were also saying that Russia was going to defeat Ukraine in a matter of months (or going back a bit further, that Russia was never going to invade at all), and now here we are years later and they haven't done it. Accuracy doesn't seem to be your main concern here.


The difference here is that you are saying some predictions on the Russian side didn't pan out, whereas on the Ukraine side the whole interpretation of what went on the past 4 years is off, especially when relating to the most crucial aspect of this war, the amount of casualties on both sides.

The Russians have chosen to have a static war of attrition, but it's very much true that few people expected this war to last two more years two years ago, you're right about this.

Incidentally, Putin has been getting a lot of criticism about this choice of warfare at home, especially given how aggressive the US, Israel and even Iran have been in waging their recent wars. Many analysts are predicting a more aggressive Russian stance this year, we should have an answer this summer if there is a drastic change in Russian strategy.

Some sources are indicating that Trump is going to push Ukraine to accept an "Istanbul Plus" type of settlement, which from my perspective is ideal for both sides. The Russian hawks would not be pleased with that type of settlement which freezes the current borders, but Putin has enough political capital to force this through if Trump pushes for it. European hawks don't like it either, but with the post-Hormuz economic depression about to hit them, they will have to comply. So at least on the Ukraine front, 2026 could be a good year.
BearlySane88
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dajo9 said:

chazzed said:

Not sure in what thread this belongs, but this is as pathetic as it gets.




The blockade of Cuba is another illegal and unconstitutional act of war by Trump


Supported by many Dems including Greasy Gav
bearister
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If you didn't catch this, worth the time. Wow!

Cancel my subscription to the Resurrection
Send my credentials to the House of Detention
I got some friends inside

“I love Cal deeply, by the way, what are the directions to The Portal from Sproul Plaza?”
movielover
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

This board has been your only source of unfiltered, real information about the Ukraine war, all your other sources sold you a fake narrative built on decades of Cold War propaganda.

Your information comes through a filter too, you just don't realize it.


I do realize, but I also do judge these filters by how accurate they turn out to be. When for example sources are telling you that Russia has been suffering huge losses, and you find out that the rate of prisoner and body exchange between Russian and Ukraine favors the former by a ratio above 30 to 1, that lends you to believe that these sources have been heavily gaslighting.

One of the interesting aspects of following this thread is that you get exposure to both sides, like the British one above, or the stuff that U2sucks used to post from the hardcore NAFO sources, which have been a lot quieter since.

Many of your sources were also saying that Russia was going to defeat Ukraine in a matter of months (or going back a bit further, that Russia was never going to invade at all), and now here we are years later and they haven't done it. Accuracy doesn't seem to be your main concern here.


The difference here is that you are saying some predictions on the Russian side didn't pan out, whereas on the Ukraine side the whole interpretation of what went on the past 4 years is off, especially when relating to the most crucial aspect of this war, the amount of casualties on both sides.

The Russians have chosen to have a static war of attrition, but it's very much true that few people expected this war to last two more years two years ago, you're right about this.

Incidentally, Putin has been getting a lot of criticism about this choice of warfare at home, especially given how aggressive the US, Israel and even Iran have been in waging their recent wars. Many analysts are predicting a more aggressive Russian stance this year, we should have an answer this summer if there is a drastic change in Russian strategy.

Some sources are indicating that Trump is going to push Ukraine to accept an "Istanbul Plus" type of settlement, which from my perspective is ideal for both sides. The Russian hawks would not be pleased with that type of settlement which freezes the current borders, but Putin has enough political capital to force this through if Trump pushes for it. European hawks don't like it either, but with the post-Hormuz economic depression about to hit them, they will have to comply. So at least on the Ukraine front, 2026 could be a good year.


Anti-Trump TDS vhat room devotee Scott Ritter said Zelensky would be removed 18 months ago.
Aunburdened
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chazzed said:

Not sure in what thread this belongs, but this is as pathetic as it gets.



Cal88
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Cal88
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Father kidnapped by Zelensky's thugs, his wife and kid in tow.

Cal88
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Cal88
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The frequency and intensity of these forced conscription kidnappings is getting worse all the time. This looks like a mother who tried to get into a gated apartment building in order to escape the conscription gang. You can feel the mother's horror as her son is taken to what she thinks is his imminent death. At this state people there know that these conscripts don't come back, and don't last very long.



Are these events being reported in the MSM?

Once these hapless men are kidnapped off the streets, they are locked into prison-like caserns and subject to a lot of brutality in order to set them straight. They are then shipped to the front and kept in units manned with Soviet-style commissars that are there to shoot them if they don't fight.
Cal88
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This is the perspective from an insider who was very close to the Zelensky government, and is now very troubled by Ukrainian forced conscription, which has become prevalent.

She advocates large payments instead of aggressive press gangs, but I don't think that is going to work either, because the great majority of people drafted end up dying, and 4 years into this conflict, people there understand that it's a one way ticket.

It was also only a matter of time that these kidnappings would turn very violent/deadly.



"In Ukraine, the situation with forced mobilization has become so dire that it risks sparking something close to a civil war. Today, an officer involved in coercive conscription was killed his throat was slit. Since the country is getting deeper and deeper into chaos and trust to the government has reduced dramatically, people are taking matters into their own hands, seeing themselves as the only force capable of protecting their lives from both external aggression and domestic policies.

Ukraine should have developed the financial incentives for mobilization instead of crossing all the read lines of human rights violations. Corruption also has played its role in demotivating people to fight."

Edit - a more recent tweet from Iulia Mendel:



" After today's horrific incident involving the stabbing of a military recruitment officer, Ukraine's MoD has emphasized the need to change approaches to mobilization.

The current forced mobilization has taken on repulsive forms, led to total corruption (conservative estimates put the damage in the billions of dollars), and most importantly it has proven ineffective. There is no worse soldier than one dragged to the front by force.

Let me remind you that many "patriots" of Ukraine from Western countries avoided talking about this terrible form of human rights violation, while quite a few local guys labeled Ukrainians who spoke about it as "pro-Russian."

Now the horror of this mobilization is being acknowledged not only by journalists, but by the Ministry of Defense itself.

I will stress: anyone who criticizes Ukrainians for telling the truth and calls us "pro-Russian" is a bigger pro-Russian agent than those openly on the Kremlin's payroll. This is you who allows Ukrainian democracy to rot while hiding behind beautiful slogans.

The new minister reportedly plans to digitalize the process of searching for draft dodgers (evaders of military service). Another question is what the enforcement mechanism for bringing evaders into service will look like. And the main issue is how to motivate people who are exhausted by the war and have enormous distrust of a corrupt government to risk their lives in a war where there are almost no chances of winning."
Aunburdened
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There's a reason this tweet is in the Ukraine thread and not the Iran thread

Cal88
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Aunburdened
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graguna
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bearister said:

If you didn't catch this, worth the time. Wow!



pretty interesting.
movielover
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Aunburdened said:




How about these educated idiots not:

- bank on Green intermittent energy
- rely on Russia
- allow Mumbles to blow up NS2 pipelines
- shut down no CO2 nuclear power over mistakes made in Japan
- follow the WEF
- have plans to break up Russia
Cal88
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bearister said:

If you didn't catch this, worth the time. Wow!




Those drones are Russian tech/methods, the Ukrainians have done a good job of copying and implementing many of these.

Iran has those tools, they've learned from the Russians. If those methods aren't taken into account in a ground war or island invasion, it is going to be tough going.

Also noted is the Boomer propaganda about the Ukraine war, they are still projecting the narrative of Ukrainains volunteering for the front, ignoring the thousands of forced conscriptions and the million plus KIAs.
sycasey
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It's been a long war, so I'm sure Ukraine is having issues with manpower and I'm not shocked if some of their recruitment/conscription efforts have gotten very aggressive.

I'm also quite sure that Russia does the same and more, so this doesn't make me want to leave the Ukrainians high and dry to be taken over.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

It's been a long war, so I'm sure Ukraine is having issues with manpower and I'm not shocked if some of their recruitment/conscription efforts have gotten very aggressive.

I'm also quite sure that Russia does the same and more, so this doesn't make me want to leave the Ukrainians high and dry to be taken over.


What makes you so sure about something you have obviously never seriously researched?

The Russians "don't do the same", no footage, nothing even close to what you have from Ukraine, every day now scenes of press gangs going on a brutal man hunt. The Russians pay their volunteers well, provide them with extensive training, and don't put them in desperate situations, or have commissars who will shoot in the back those who hesitate to fight.
Aunburdened
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

It's been a long war, so I'm sure Ukraine is having issues with manpower and I'm not shocked if some of their recruitment/conscription efforts have gotten very aggressive.

I'm also quite sure that Russia does the same and more, so this doesn't make me want to leave the Ukrainians high and dry to be taken over.


What makes you so sure about something you have obviously never seriously researched?

Because he has to square that away morally so he can justify the obvious human rights atrocities committed by the Ukraine government to preserve his good guys vs bad guys view of the war.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

It's been a long war, so I'm sure Ukraine is having issues with manpower and I'm not shocked if some of their recruitment/conscription efforts have gotten very aggressive.

I'm also quite sure that Russia does the same and more, so this doesn't make me want to leave the Ukrainians high and dry to be taken over.


What makes you so sure about something you have obviously never seriously researched?

The Russians "don't do the same", no footage, nothing even close to what you have from Ukraine, every day now scenes of press gangs going on a brutal man hunt. The Russians pay their volunteers well, provide them with extensive training, and don't put them in desperate situations, or have commissars who will shoot in the back those who hesitate to fight.

I can't believe that no footage has made it to Western outlets from the Russian side of the battle lines.

But honestly, I don't even need to prove this. Russia invaded Ukraine in a war of aggression. That's enough for me to oppose them.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

sycasey said:

It's been a long war, so I'm sure Ukraine is having issues with manpower and I'm not shocked if some of their recruitment/conscription efforts have gotten very aggressive.

I'm also quite sure that Russia does the same and more, so this doesn't make me want to leave the Ukrainians high and dry to be taken over.


What makes you so sure about something you have obviously never seriously researched?

The Russians "don't do the same", no footage, nothing even close to what you have from Ukraine, every day now scenes of press gangs going on a brutal man hunt. The Russians pay their volunteers well, provide them with extensive training, and don't put them in desperate situations, or have commissars who will shoot in the back those who hesitate to fight.

I can't believe that no footage has made it to Western outlets from the Russian side of the battle lines.

But honestly, I don't even need to prove this. Russia invaded Ukraine in a war of aggression. That's enough for me to oppose them.


Russians have had access to social media like Telegram, where most of the Ukraine footage comes from. There is lots of material from Russian about the Ukraine war, some even critical of Russian policies, but I've yet to see the kind of Ukrainian forced conscriptions that you see daily online.

The Kiev regime invaded eastern Ukraine in 2014, repressed the local rebellion with tanks, jets and machine gun firing troops. This is a British MSM report from 2014:



" We have always been at war with Eastasia."

George Orwell wrote that line in his famous novel, 1984, to describe how governments rewrite history in real time.

In the novel, yesterday's ally becomes today's enemy, and the past is simply edited to match the present. Newspapers are changed, records destroyed, and anything that contradicts the current narrative disappears into what Orwell called the memory hole.

The point Orwell was making was simple but chilling. If you control the past, you control how people understand the present. And if you control the present, you control the future.

Which brings us to #Ukraine.

Here we are showing a video from 2014, when ITV News Europe Editor James Mates reported on a day of violence in the eastern Ukrainian city of Mariupol. It is unlikely ITV will be replaying this report anytime soon, because it complicates the very simple story we are now told about Ukraine's recent history.

The war did not suddenly appear in 2022 out of nowhere. It began in 2014, after the overthrow of Ukraine's government amid Western-backed unrest, with US politicians like John McCain on the ground supporting opposition forces. What followed was eight years of civil war in Eastern Ukraine. Shelling, civilian deaths, and refugees fleeing Donetsk, Luhansk, and Mariupol were reported by Western media at the time.

This is not Russian propaganda. It is their footage. These are their reports. The truth is simple. The Ukrainian civil war ran for eight years. It ended on February 24th 2022, when Russia crossed the border and turned it into an international war.


This is why old news reports matter. They are pieces of history that cannot easily be rewritten once people have seen them.

Orwell understood this perfectly.

"Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past."

So when certain parts of history quietly disappear from the conversation, when timelines suddenly begin at convenient political moments, it is always worth paying attention.

Because the memory hole is not just a device in a novel.
It is how propaganda works."
Cal88
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In other news from Ukraine, same old, but with this time olympic 2-time silver medalist being hunted down by 8 Ukrainain forced conscription goons. He might have been able to fend off 5 or 6, but 8 was too many:



" According to Ukrainian sources, the person in the second clip is not a typical victim of the Mobilization Commissioners, who nearly defended herself "fairly" 8 on 1. In the end, the brutally beaten man was Oleksiy Mazikin, a boxer who competed at the 2001 World Championships.
Silver medalist.
On the way to the final, he achieved a remarkable victory over the future star of world boxing, Alexander Povetkin.
Participant in two Olympic Games (Sydney 2000 and Athens 2004). In both cases, he advanced to the second round. Several-time Ukrainian champion and medalist.
A woman was also seriously injured during the mobilization when the commissioners threw her to the ground and she hit her head."

sycasey
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Cal88 said:

This is not Russian propaganda. It is their footage. These are their reports. The truth is simple. The Ukrainian civil war ran for eight years. It ended on February 24th 2022, when Russia crossed the border and turned it into an international war.

Russia should not have crossed the border and turned it into an international war. That was a terrible decision.
Cal88
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Ukraine was about to crush the Donbass with 60,000 troops. The Donbas Russians had been pleading for Russia to intervene for years before 2022.

At that point the Russians had to intervene, even if Putin didn't give a damn about Ukrainian Russians, because Crimea was going to be next after the Donbas.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:

Ukraine was about to crush the Donbass with 60,000 troops. The Donbas Russians had been pleading for Russia to intervene for years before 2022.

At that point the Russians had to intervene, even if Putin didn't give a damn about Ukrainian Russians, because Crimea was going to be next after the Donbas.

No they didn't have to intervene, any more than Trump had to intervene in Iran. They shouldn't have taken Crimea either.
Cal88
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sycasey said:

Cal88 said:

Ukraine was about to crush the Donbass with 60,000 troops. The Donbas Russians had been pleading for Russia to intervene for years before 2022.

At that point the Russians had to intervene, even if Putin didn't give a damn about Ukrainian Russians, because Crimea was going to be next after the Donbas.

No they didn't have to intervene, any more than Trump had to intervene in Iran. They shouldn't have taken Crimea either.


Crimeans didn't/don't want anything to do with the Kiev government, no one there speaks Ukrainian, they are Russians. Wilsonian values. self-determination etc, all these liberal fundamentals are swept away when it comes to Ukraine/Russia. Crimeans overwhelmingly voted to join Russia. Crimea was lumped into the Soviet Republic of Ukraine by Khrushchev in the 1950s for political reasons.



We've gone through this many, many times already, you know that.
sycasey
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Cal88 said:



We've gone through this many, many times already, you know that.

Yes, and you're still wrong.
Cal88
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The price of staying alive for draft-age men at Territorial Recruitment Centers.
Only the rich will survive the Ukraine's war:

up to $3,000: basic "services" (removal from the wanted list, updating records, a "pause" with no contact from the TRC).
$4,0007,000: avoiding a draft notice, obtaining deferments.
$10,00012,000: leaving the country.
$16,00025,000: "packages" (military medical board clearance, documents, unfit-for-service status).
up to $50,000: the full package (disability status + leaving the country).
Aunburdened
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movielover
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Why was McCain so pro civil war? $$$, busy body, dummy?
Cal88
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Misplaced Cold War ideology, maybe some sponsors/donors.
movielover
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Pressure mounting in Russia to do more. Will they up their game when the ground solidifies?
BearlySane88
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