Iran. Oh, the irony...

34,496 Views | 971 Replies | Last: 1 hr ago by DiabloWags
DiabloWags
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SBGold said:



Accuses people of deflecting, then deflects with a strawman accusation about some incident in NYC involving Muslims (hey, is Mamdani in the mix here?)

100% bad faith




Bingo.
Aunburdened
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BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:



I don't think he should have said this before there's proof but Trump is officially claiming it wasn't us that did it.


Trump said that because in addition to being a war criminal, he is also a lying sack of sh**.


I know this would kill your narrative if what he said is true so I get the anger in your post


Are you really saying that IRAN bombed its grils school in Minab??




I'm still saying I have no clue because nobody has proved it one way or the other. Are you really saying you can't believe that they would after they murder women for not wearing a hijab?

You say girls school but the photos of the kids they said died there are a mix of boys and girls


There are some boys and adults who were killed because the USAF DOUBLE TAPPED the school, after parents came into the school looking for their daughters and sisters.



People pulled out the same bu**s*** about the Gaza hospitals being bombed by Hamas in the first few months of that genocide.


Keep defending evil regimes, it's what you're good at.

Call88 doesn't have time in his day to defend the United States' many war and foreign policy abuses.
BearlySane88
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Nobody brought him up but you.
Cal88
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BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:



I don't think he should have said this before there's proof but Trump is officially claiming it wasn't us that did it.


Trump said that because in addition to being a war criminal, he is also a lying sack of sh**.


I know this would kill your narrative if what he said is true so I get the anger in your post


Are you really saying that IRAN bombed its grils school in Minab??




I'm still saying I have no clue because nobody has proved it one way or the other. Are you really saying you can't believe that they would after they murder women for not wearing a hijab?

You say girls school but the photos of the kids they said died there are a mix of boys and girls


There are some boys and adults who were killed because the USAF DOUBLE TAPPED the school, after parents came into the school looking for their daughters and sisters.



People pulled out the same bu**s*** about the Gaza hospitals being bombed by Hamas in the first few months of that genocide.


Keep defending evil regimes, it's what you're good at.


How twisted does one need to be to believe that the pedo predator child killers are not evil.




Still waiting on that proof that Trump is a pedo. I've asked several times and you've come back with nothing.

Where's your condemnation for the Muslims who tried to kill Christians today in NYC?

You never answer when called out, you just deflect with something entirely off topic. I'll expect your responses shortly

These are the people you defend



Accuses people of deflecting, then deflects with a strawman accusation about some incident in NYC involving Muslims (hey, is Mamdani in the mix here?)

100% bad faith


Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo.


Trump's longtime mentor, Roy Cohn, was a pedo. Trump has had a very long history of associating with pedos.

Elon Musk said that Trump was in the Epstein files, I tend to believe him.

At the very least, Trump is protecting pedos by withholding and heavily censuring a very large number of Epstein docs, that much is for sure, though his behavior lends me to believe that the story is even worse.
BearlySane88
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Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo
Cal88
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Ask Elon, he knows.

Send him a DM on X, and tell him it's urgent.
BearlySane88
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Cal88 said:

Ask Elon, he knows.

Send him a DM on X, and tell him it's urgent.


Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo
Cal88
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OK. wait.
BearlySane88
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Cal88 said:

OK. wait.


Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo.
Cal88
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BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

OK. wait.


Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo.


I can at least prove that you star your own posts, because there already are 3 within 2 minutes of that post above, which is fairly mundane and annoyingly repetitive.

These kinds of posts also clog the board and bring down the level of discourse and content.

Furthermore, they are glaring display of narcissism and lack of social awareness, because you should know that people read this thread to find out and exchange about interesting topics, as opposed to wading through endless dumb canned retorts.
DiabloWags
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Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.
I should have followed Unit-2 out the door a long time ago.

BearlySane88
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Cal88 said:

BearlySane88 said:

Cal88 said:

OK. wait.


Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo.


I can at least prove that you star your own posts, because there already are 3 within 2 minutes of that post above, which is fairly mundane and annoyingly repetitive.

These kinds of posts also clog the board and bring down the level of discourse and content.

Furthermore, they are glaring display of narcissism and lack of social awareness, because you should know that people read this thread to find out and exchange about interesting topics, as opposed to wading through endless dumb canned retorts.


Deflection. You can't prove anything or you would.

Still waiting for you to prove Trump is a pedo.
brobear
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DiabloWags said:

Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.




you're just salty cuz you got exposed.
BearlySane88
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DiabloWags said:

Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.
I should have followed Unit-2 out the door a long time ago.




We can agree on that last line
DiabloWags
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brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.




you're just salty cuz you got exposed.


That would be a cool story if I cared.
But I don't.

This place has become a massive waste of time. It didn't have to be that way. But as Sebasta once told me, there are people here that are clearly mentally ill. That's why he gave up on OT and hasn't been back since. Same with Unit-2 Sucks.

Two terrific posters driven away.


brobear
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DiabloWags said:

brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.




you're just salty cuz you got exposed.


That would be a cool story if I cared.
But I don't.




what you said above leads me to believe a different story
DiabloWags
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brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.




you're just salty cuz you got exposed.


That would be a cool story if I cared.
But I don't.




what you said above leads me to believe a different story


5 stars in less than 4 minutes.
Impressive.
brobear
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DiabloWags said:

brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

Sadly, he does this repeatedly.
He directs everything back at himself.
Literally every thread gets hijacked by his narcissism.

It's not even worth contributing here anymore.




you're just salty cuz you got exposed.


That would be a cool story if I cared.
But I don't.




what you said above leads me to believe a different story


5 stars in less than 4 minutes.
Impressive.



people really seem to like it when i call you out, and the other hypocrites
DiabloWags
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Yeah, the same guy with a proxy server with several different screen names.

Yawn.
brobear
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DiabloWags said:

Yeah, the same guy with a proxy server with several different screen names.

Yawn.



this is a tired argument. i thought you were heading out?
DiabloWags
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Back to the topic of the thread.
Some food for thought.


Three Ways the Iran War Could End

There are three ways the war in Iran could end, according to Bernard Haykel, a professor of Near Eastern Studies at Princeton University. The regime could fall. It could stay but soften its stance and cut a deal with the US. Or it could simply hold on and survive but "hardened even further in its determination to be a revisionist power." The last one, he says in his Weekend Interview with Bloomberg's Mishal Husain, is the most likely.

Bloomberg Economics also does not consider regime change likely, at least in the short term (Terminal subscribers only). Prediction markets which have drawn flack for the grim calculus of betting on war see that outcome as unlikely, too 36% as of this writing. On the other hand, US President Donald Trump said on Friday that the only deal he will accept is "unconditional surrender."

If the regime does fall, or comes close, Iran could devolve into chaos, as Burcu Ozcelik writes in an essay this weekend: The Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps could fracture, or local armed groups could lead to civil war.

Haykel also warns that things could go downhill quickly:

"In that case [of regime change], you could end up with a civil war. Iran is only about 50% Persian by ethnicity. You have other ethnicities the Baloch, the Kurds, the Azeris, the Arabs. They could be armed by outside powers. You could end up with a very chaotic and weakened central state. That would spell a disaster for Iran and for the region. Iran is a large country with a super-talented population. It has massive resources in oil and gas. Seeing a Libya-style war in Iran would be catastrophic."

As for how long the fighting will last, Dina Esfandiary of Bloomberg Geoeconomics highlights three factors (Terminal subscribers only). The greater the economic cost meaning mostly energy prices the more pressure there will be on Trump to end the war. For Iran, willingness to deal will depend on how fast its weapons stockpiles are depleted or destroyed, as well as which factions emerge most powerful in the wake of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death.

One scenario that no one seems to consider particularly likely: a transition to democracy. Bloomberg Geoeconomics looked at the history of foreign-imposed regime changes and found that they very rarely leave stable democracies in their wake.


As analyst Antonio Barroso writes:

"Of 60 foreign-backed leadership change attempts since 1945, only seven produced democracies that endured for at least a decade. In cases allegedly involving the US, just two of 26 did. In the Middle East, none resulted in a consolidated democracy."

Walter Frick, Bloomberg Weekend

Open questions:

Could China come to Iran's aid? Not likely, (Terminal link) and NATO is not likely to enter the war either (Terminal link).

Who else might? If Iran continues to attack Saudi Arabia, "You're going to see the Saudi Air Force getting involved in this war on the side of both the US and Israel," says Haykel.

For Russia, a jump in oil prices could help replenish rainy-day reserves and there's a hope that the US exhausts weapons and attention, per Bloomberg News.

Will Kurdish forces enter the war? Israel is reportedly working toward that option, and it is part of a scenario that Ozcelik suggests could unleash a new level of chaos and blowback inside and outside of Iran
brobear
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you're still here? you said you were leaving but can't even hold yourself to that.
DiabloWags
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brobear said:

you're still here? you said you were leaving but can't even hold yourself to that.


Your reading comprehension is poor.

And as usual, you never discuss the topic of the thread. Instead, you do nothing but talk about the posters in them.

Some would call that being a Troll.
Especially given that you're not even a Cal alum.

Do they not have a message board at UICU?



brobear
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the same attacks over and over. reading comprehension, troll, not a Cal alum. maybe just go to sleep already, this has been a bad night for you here
DiabloWags
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Perhaps you should learn how to use the IGNORE feature, so you can stop preaching to people.

But a Troll's gotta Troll.




brobear
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DiabloWags said:

You sound combative.
That's your pedantic MO right?



says the guy who has ongoing feuds with 5 diff posters here

you should really use the ignore feature but you don't. shocker
DiabloWags
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brobear said:

DiabloWags said:

You sound combative.
That's your pedantic MO right?



says the guy who has ongoing feuds with 5 diff posters here


And not a single one will use the IGNORE feature.
Not even you.

Shocker.

 
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